What Is the October Effect?

The Ding Crab effect (also known as the "Autumn Officer Effect") is a peculiar phenomenon in the stock market. It refers to the beginning of Zheng Shaoqiu's role in Ding Crab in "The Great Era" in 1992. All TV series starring Zheng Shaoqiu [1] , Movies, etc., the Hang Seng Index or A shares have fallen to varying degrees, and shareholders have suffered heavy losses. The "Ding Crab Effect" belongs to a type of "self-fulfilling prophecy." Because some investors believe in this special stock phenomenon, fearing that the relevant effects will surely come true, which will cause their securities investment to fall, so some investors will conduct non-compliance. The rational lightening has caused the stock market to plummet. From scientific analysis, there is no objective evidence in social and economic theories today that the Ding Crab Effect can influence the choices or preferences of the mainstream investment community.

Crab effect

In October 1992,
Economic coincidence
Comedy has no effect?
date
name of the show
Impact situation
October 05, 1992
The Big Era
After the broadcast, the Hang Seng Index had fallen as much as 1283 points (20.6%) in a month.
October 1994
"Looking at the Storm"
In the more than one month after the program aired, it had fallen as much as 1976 points (20.5%)
May and June 1995
"The Legend of Xiangshuai", "Forty-one Men's Home"
The two dramas had fallen by as much as 505 points in just five days (5.3%)
February 1996
Heaven and Earth Boy
After the show aired more than a month after the decline was as high as 1254 points (10.9%)
Sep. 1996
New Shanghai Beach
The HSI has fallen by up to 221 points (2.0%) in two trading days
December 1997
The Legend of Jiang Hu Qi Xia
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index has fallen as much as 2842 points (26.4%) in more than a month
July 1999
Excalibur
The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index has repeatedly broken down after breaking through the 14,500 points slightly, and has fallen as much as 2084 points (14.4%) in the following month.
September 2000
Battle of the Century
In the eight trading days after the program aired, it slumped 2469 points (14.5%), and the cumulative decline in more than one month was as high as 2900 points (17.1%)
Summer 2003
The Big Era
US wireless satellite TV broadcast, US Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ weak performance due to corporate fraud storm
October 2003
"Very Grandfather."
During the show, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index once fell 681 points (5.6%) within two trading days.
March 2004
Blood Recommendation Xuanyuan
After the program aired, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell 843 points (6.2%) within four trading days, and the cumulative decline in more than a month was as high as 1482 points (10.9%)
October 2004
Chu Han's Arrogance
Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index has dropped by up to 272 points (2.1%)
March 2005
"Idle Man"
The day after the show aired (March 15), the Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong fell by 90 points, but has continued to fall downwards since the end of March. The Hang Seng Index has fallen by as much as 550 points (4.0%) since the end of March compared with when the program was launched.
April 2006
Tidal burst
Before the show was over, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index failed to break through 17,000 points and fell back to the 16500 level. Four trading days after the program was broadcast, the HSI plummeted in more than a month, with the largest drop of 2097 points (12.1%)
July 2006
"Idle Man" broadcast on US wireless satellite TV
At that time, global stock markets fell due to the outbreak of the Israeli-Lebanese (Banen) conflict. The US Dow Jones Industrial Average has fallen by up to 561 points (5.0%) in six trading days
February 2007
Replay of Royal Idlers begins
Within seven trading days after the rebroadcast, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index plummeted by 2150 points (10.3%) and once fell below the 19,000 point mark.
May 2007
"Mystery" Hong Kong Premiere
The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong fell 111 points the next day after the first broadcast, and then repeatedly fell. As of May 30, 2007, the Hang Seng Index fell to the level of 20,300 points, and the cumulative decline was as high as 795 points (3.8%)
July 2007
"Hong Kong Legend, Returning" Premiere in Hong Kong
The Hang Seng Index in Hong Kong fell 215 points on the day of its first broadcast on July 18. After that, the performance continued to weaken. In summary, during the play of the drama, the Hang Seng Index had fallen as much as 1181 points (5.2%). After the program was broadcast, the HSI failed to stop falling. It had a maximum of 2504 points (11.4%) in five days. It did not stop rising until August 17th, which was called the "Great Miracle Day" of the Hong Kong stock market.
August 2007
"Big Wave" and "Big Time" broadcast on US wireless satellite TV
The US subprime housing credit storm broke down that month. US Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged up to 1202 points (8.8%) in six trading days
October 11, 2007
Due to the sudden fainting and coma of Shen Dianxia at his residence in Jiulongtang, Zheng Shaoqiu was surrounded by a large number of media after his visit, which led him to rarely appear in major news programs such as TV News at 6:30 and Evening News.
The next day (October 12, 2007), the Hang Seng Index fell sharply in the previous three consecutive trading days, with a maximum drop of 764 points.
November 10, 2007
Zheng Shaoqiu and his daughter Zheng Xinyi attended the show "Happy Tonight Reunion Night", the father and daughter sang a song "The End of the World"
After that, the Hang Seng Index fell by a maximum of 1315 points on Monday (November 12) and fell below the 28000 point level.
December 09, 2007
"Big Thousands of Money" Premiere in Hong Kong
On the Friday (December 7) before the broadcast of the program, the HSI once approached 30,000 points, but then fell sharply, and fell 716 points at the close of the market. On the next day of the broadcast (December 10), the HSI lost the 28,500-point mark. The market closed down 341 points; after that, the HSI repeatedly fell, and fell by a maximum of 7132 points (24.7%) in more than one month after the program aired, setting the record for the largest drop in points since the fall of the official effect, and also in percentage terms. Record of the second largest drop.
February 08, 2008
"Pride of the Sky" broadcast on HD Jade
The Hang Seng Index fell 1339 points on the last trading day (February 6) before the Lunar New Year; after that, it resumed trading on the new year's day (February 11). As a result, the first trading day of the year of the mouse fell 853 points.
March 02, 2008
"Fat Sisters" will be broadcast live on television in Hong Kong. Zheng Shaoqiu, who had not been given a eulogy, will temporarily speak on stage when responding to Deng Guangrong's remarks. Later, this segment appeared repeatedly in major media reports
The next day (March 3), the Hang Seng Index plummeted by 746 points, and continued to fall in the next few days. In summary, the Hang Seng Index plummeted by 1,830 points (7.5%) in just five days after the broadcast of the program, the worst week in seven years
May 19, 2008
Zheng Shaoqiu attended the radio as a spontaneous silence of all the staff members who mourned the victims of the Wenchuan earthquake, and was asked about their feelings at the time; the interview clip was broadcast on the evening "Mourning for the Great Sichuan Earthquake"
The next day (May 20, 2008), the Hang Seng Index plummeted up to 700 points and closed down 573 points
October 03, 2008
"Chu and Han" is replayed
On October 8, the Hang Seng Index fell 1372.03 points. It fell 2886 points throughout the week to October 10, the worst week since 1997. It is worth mentioning that on the evening of October 10th, Zheng Shaoqiu dedicated a concert of "Sweet and Handsome" to the fans at the Macau Cultural Center Theater. This was the first performance of a three-day performance. From October 3 to October 27, the Hang Seng Index fell from 17,788 points to 11015 points, a cumulative drop of 6873 points; the US Dow fell from 10483 points to 8378 points, a cumulative drop of 2105 points. NASDAQ, European FTSE 100 are also affected
October 20, 2008
Sitcom "Beida One" premieres
Some netizens complained that the broadcast of the play caused the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index to decline again and again, and even dragged Zheng Shaoqiu's daughter Xin Yi into the water, saying that she was "Ding Crab (Effect) 2.0 enhanced version", saying that she had the same drama as her father Zheng Shaoqiu The broadcast will surely make Hong Kong's stock market plummet.
March 30, 2009
"Billiards King" wireless premiere in Hong Kong
The Hang Seng Index fell short of the 14,000-point mark at the opening of the market. The drop in the afternoon had expanded to 706 points, and the market closed down 663 points. In summary, during the play of the play, the HSI repeatedly rose by 1802 points (13.1%). However, in the program on April 7, Zheng Shaoqiu warned that "investment involves risks, you must be careful, don't mess around." The stock market on April 8 fell sharply, dropping more than 440 points. Coincidentally, Guo Zhenghong, who plays Ding Crab's fourth son Ding Crab, also played in the drama "The Great Era".
The evening of May 10, 2010
CCTV-8 premiere of "Sacred Medicine Avenue"
On May 11, China's Shanghai Composite Index opened at 2752.50 points. In the afternoon, the Shanghai Composite Index dropped to 2602.20 points, and the market closed still down 148.30 points. This is also the second largest percentage decline since May. The SZSE Component Index also hit an all-time low, failing to hold the 10,000-point mark, and closed at 9905.48 points, a drop of the year s lowest.
October 25, 2010
"Book of Swords and Enemies" premiered on ATV Hong Kong and Asia HD
The Ding Crab effect has regained its power; the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index ended its two-month upward trend and fell 436 points (1.85%) on October 27, 2010, the largest one-day drop in nearly four months. From November 12th to 17th, the total fell nearly 1,300 points.
May 7, 2012
Zheng Shaoqiu's new drama "Heart Warfare" will be launched wirelessly in Hong Kong.
On the weekends of May 5th and 6th, 2012, the television hit Zheng Shaoqiu's trailer for playing Qianmen [6] . Results As of May 10, 2012, the Hang Seng Index of the Hong Kong stock market fell for four consecutive days, with a cumulative decline of nearly 4%.
March 28, 2013 Zheng Shaoqiu's new film "The Loyal Yang Family Generals" is scheduled to be screened on April 4th at the Qingming Festival. On March 28, 2013, A shares fell 2.82%, and the Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong shares fell 0.74%. At this point, the "Ding Crab Effect" has become increasingly popular.
April 5, 2013 Zheng Shaoqiu's new movie "The Loyal Yang Family Generals" will be released on the Qingming Festival on April 4.
On April 5, 2013, the Hong Kong stock market Hang Seng Index plummeted by 2.73% on Friday, the largest drop in 8 months. [7]
April 20, 2015 TVB replays "Big Time" On April 20, 2015, the A-share market touched early in the morning, and then plummeted by nearly 4%. The closing price still fell by 1.64%, the largest decline in three months.
April 29, 2019 Spoiler Prequel Released before 5.1, after Section 5.1, on May 6, 2019, the A-shares Shanghai Stock Index was -5.58%, the Shenzhen Stock Exchange Index was -7.56%, and the GEM Index was -7.94%.

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