What is the risk that the bird flu is mutating into a mold between people?

The historically deadliest pandemic of influenza starts like viruses that only infect animals such as birds or pigs, and gradually put to the point where they infect and transmitted among humans. At this time, we really know that the risk that bird flu will turn into flu pandemic is significant, at least as big as it has been since 1968, when the last pandemic of the flu appeared. Therefore, world leaders discussed the risk of influenza pandemic and supply tens of millions of doses of influenza vaccines. Pandemic flu viruses very often have bird flu genes and human flu genes. An alternative name for bird flu is bird flu. Level 1, Code Green, Low Risk of Human Cases. Inter-pandemic phase.
2. Level 2, Green Code, Higher Risk of Human Cases. Inter-pandemic phase.
3. Level 3, a yellow code, a pandemic warning, no or a very limited human transmission.
4. Level 4, code yellow, pandemic warning, evidence of increased transmission to a personto a man.
5th level 5, Orange code, pandemic warning, proof of significant transmission to humans.
6. Level 6, Code red, ongoing pandemic, effective and permanent transmission to humans.

According to WHO, we are currently at level 3. Several dozen people have been infected with bird flu in the last few decades, but the virus could not be transmitted among people. The main victims are people very closely working with animals in third world countries under poor hygienic conditions.

Based on historical data, the entire cycle is completed every 20 to 100 years. In the 20th century there were three flu pandemics and none in the 21st place.

There are two means that bird flu or pig flu can be mutated into a virus of pandemic influenza. One simple mutation leading to a virus version that can infect and spread among people. Another is a human being infected with bird fluAt the same time, OU and human flu exchange genetic material in the association process, leading to a new virus that can be transmitted among people.

Influenza pandemia is the deadliest events in human history. The 1918 pandemic from 1918 was killed between 50 and 100 million formerly healthy people, larger than the Toll from the First World War, which occurred just before the outbreak.