Does technological progress accelerate?

It seems that technological progress has been accelerating for some time, especially from the industrial revolution at the end of the 18th and at the beginning of the 19th century. Consider some of the main milestones in technological progress in history:

Milestone reached Use of fire 1 million BC Establishment homo sapiens 300 000 BC. Agriculture, first town 8500 BC Writing, bronze time 3500 BC Iron 1000 BC Scientific revolution 1600 Industrial revolution 1800 Electricity, interior plumbing 1860 Oil 1870 Plane 1903 Synthetic fertilizer 1910 Jadeenemies 1942 Digital computer technology 1943 Lunar landing 1969 World Wide Web 1991

It is clear that there is something wrong here: recently there has been further technological progress. Although the selection of milestones is semi -full, historians have compared different sets of "main milestones" as defined by dozens of respected publications, and found that the acceleration effect in each list. For most human history, there were fewer than three million people on Earth. According to the invention of agriculture in 8500 BC there were about five million people. The birth of Christ was 200 million. In 1800, the world's population was approximately one billion and since 2008 it has been 6.6 billion. 10% of anyone who has ever lived today is alive and we are educated, interconnected, more efficiently and assisted by automation than ever.

More people mean more farmers, more factory workers, more entrepreneurs, more scientists, inventors and geniuses of each lane. The more people exist and the better technologies they have, the more likely they are inventing new technologies and distributing them. It is the basic fact that the new inventions are incredibly beneficial. Once invented and distributed, they can permanently increase production per capita for billions of people. Thus, in capitalist societies there is a strong economic incentive to invent new technologies.

The technology is built in a recursive way: Better tools can be used to design a constantly accelerating speed. Futurists claim that advanced technologies are likely to develop in the 21st century, such as molecular nanotechnology and artificial intelligence, to support the continuation of the technological acceleration of the effect and create an era of very fast progress. Where this future progress leads us, they guesssomeone.